Back

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls eye 1.1750s, but bears are ready to pounce

  • GBP/USD bulls take charge mid-week on risk-on sentiment. 
  • The bears are lurking at the critical weekly structure. 

GBP/USD bulls are taking charge following a significant rally mid-week that has left the emphasis, for the near term, on a correction, but with the risk of a continuation towards weekly structure as the following technical analysis across multi-timeframe charts will illustrate: 

GBP/USD weekly chart

The weekly chart shows that the price could move in on the 1.1750s before the week is out but the W-formation is a bearish reversion pattern.

GBP/USD daily charts

The price rallied out of a micro daily symmetrical triangle following the peak formation in a V-bottom. However, the W-formation, which we will go into more detail below, is a bearish reversion pattern as the price heads towards a more dominant trendline resistance: 

While on the front side of this major trendline, the outlook remains bearish:

The W-formation is troubling, but a move-in to test the September highs is on the cards prior to a move into the neckline of the reversion pattern as illustrated above. Such a move would be consistent with putting heat onto in-the-money long positions built up over the week in three days of higher highs. The Fibonacci has been drawn from a hypothetical high that marries the September highs. A move into the neckline of the W-formation based on such a measurement will have a confluence with the 50% mean reversion before the 61.8% Fibo on a break below 1.1450. A break of the trendline resistance opens risk of a break of 1.1270 and then a really significant 1.1060 area. 

NZD/USD climbs sharply, eyeing the 50-DMA around 0.5880 as the US Dollar slide prolongs

The New Zealand Dollar is advancing for the second straight day vs. the buck amidst a mixed market mood, while the US Dollar free-fall continued while
Read more Previous

USD/JPY extends losses to levels near 146.00

The US dollar depreciated for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, breaking below 147.00 to reach levels right above 146.00, the lowest level reac
Read more Next