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13 Mar 2023

NZD/USD to reach 0.66 in the second half of the year – ING

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) could hike rates less than expected but the NZD/USD pair is still seen higher over the coming months, economists at ING report.

RBNZ pivot may not come in April

“The RBNZ continued to delay their dovish pivot. There is a good probability that April won’t see a pivot either. What will tilt the balance on the dovish side for the RBNZ, in our view, will be the disinflation process (which may well start earlier than they are projecting) and/or property market weakness rather than well-telegraphed evidence of a recessionary environment.”

“We expect the RBNZ to end up short of their projected 5.50% peak rate, but that should not prevent NZD to touch 0.66 in 2H23.”

“NZD/USD – 1M 0.62 3M 0.64 6M 0.66 12M 0.67”

Mar 13, 2023

Turkey Current Account Balance declined to $-9.849B in January from previous $-5.91B

USD Index drops to 4-week lows near 103.70

The greenback, in terms of the USD Index (DXY), remains on the defensive and breaks below the 104.00 support for the first time since mid-February. US