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6 Oct 2023

USD/PHP: Peso Filipina Melemah Secara Bertahap – MUFG

Pada bulan September, Peso Filipina volatil melawan Dolar AS. Para ekonom di MUFG Bank menganalisis prospek USD/PHP.

Risiko-Risiko PHP Berasal dari Minyak, Beras, dan Dolar AS

Kami memprakirakan pelemahan bertahap PHP melawan Dolar AS di 57,30 dalam 3 bulan dan 57,50 dalam 12 bulan.

Meskipun kami terus mencatat adanya risiko kenaikan pada harga minyak dan beras global, kami melihat beberapa area yang mendukung PHP, yang tercermin dalam prakiraan kami soal pelemahan FX secara bertahap. Pertama, BSP melakukan intervensi lebih agresif dan bersikap lebih hawkish. Kedua, defisit neraca transaksi berjalan seharusnya sedikit mengecil. Ketiga, aliran FDI juga seharusnya meningkat pada tahun 2024. Terakhir, kami masih memprakirakan tren inflasi akan lebih rendah.

Risiko-risiko terhadap prakiraan PHP kami berasal dari minyak, beras, dan Dolar AS.

USD/PHP – Kuartal keempat 2023 57,30 Kuartal pertama 2024 57,50 Kuartal kedua 2024 57,50 Kuartal ketiga 2024 57,50

Oct 6, 2023

USD/TWD: Dolar Taiwan akan Menguat Dalam Jangka Menengah karena Pulihnya Investasi AI – MUFG

Dolar Taiwan melanjutkan penurunan ke terendah melawan Dolar AS sejak November 2022. Para ekonom di MUFG Bank menganalisis prospek USD/TWD. USD/TWD T
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Oct 6, 2023

The Fed: Kemungkinan Kenaikan Suku Bunga Lainnya Sebelum Akhir Tahun – Wells Fargo

Pertumbuhan lapangan kerja AS melampaui ekspektasi pada bulan September. Setelah NFP, FOMC mengamati Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK) dan Indeks Biaya Kete
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