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Gold Price Forecast: Slightly weaker XAU/USD is justified in the short term – Commerzbank

Gold price went on a rollercoaster ride on Friday following the release of the US employment report. Strategists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.

Gold price weaker for now

More jobs were created in December than expected. However, the previous months' data was revised downwards. Nevertheless, there is no evidence of pronounced weakness in the US labor market. Rather, the data may have encouraged those who continue to expect a soft landing for the US economy and as a result, rather late interest rate cuts by the Fed, which explains why Gold is now trading lower. 

Although we are far less optimistic – our economists continue to believe that the US will still slip into recession – the robust labor market supports our view that the first interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve will probably not take place until May, rather than earlier as many market participants expect. In this context, we believe that a slightly weaker Gold price is justified in the short term.

United States Redbook Index (YoY) increased to 5.9% in January 5 from previous 5.6%

United States Redbook Index (YoY) increased to 5.9% in January 5 from previous 5.6%
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EUR/USD steady amid soft EU’s data, ahead of US CPI report

The EUR/USD is almost flat in early trading in the North American session on Tuesday as economic data in Europe was mixed while traders prepared for Thursday’s inflation report in the United States (US).
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