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26 Jan 2024

EUR/USD: The downside looks open to the 1.0790/1.0800 area – ING

EUR/USD has pushed below 1.0850. Economists at ING analyze Euro’s outlook.

EUR/CHF can still trade higher

The downside for EUR/USD looks open to the 1.0790/1.0800 area now and 1.0875/1.0900 looks like stronger resistance. And risks next week warn that EUR/USD could be a 1.0715/25 story.

We are also surprised that EUR/CHF did not hand back more of its recent gains given that our recent call for EUR/CHF to trade to 0.9500/0.9600 is premised on higher Euro market interest rates. If we are correct, however, in that the ECB does not cut until June and by only 75 bps in total this year versus the 140 bps currently priced – then EUR/CHF can still trade higher.

Elsewhere, EUR/GBP is closing in on major support at 0.8500 – but a break below it looks highly unlikely ahead of next Thursday’s Bank of England meeting.

Jan 26, 2024

Pound Sterling faces pressure as focus shifts to central bank decisions

The Pound Sterling (GBP) falls on the backfoot as investors turn cautious ahead of the interest rate decisions by the Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week.

Confirming you are not from the U.S. or the Philippines

EUR/USD: The downside looks open to the 1.0790/1.0800 area – ING

EUR/CHF can still trade higher

Pound Sterling faces pressure as focus shifts to central bank decisions

Spain Unemployment Survey below forecasts (11.9%) in 4Q: Actual (11.76%)