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USD/SGD: Consolidation is likely near term – OCBC

USD/SGD resumed its rise, tracking the move higher in UST yield while weaker JPY and RMB saw negative spillover effects. Pair was last at 1.3501, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Set to continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded while RSI rose. Consolidation likely. Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA, 23.6% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high), 1.3310 (50 DMA).”

“Pair should continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY moves ahead of FOMC event risk later this week. Next set of SG data is NODX (Tue) and CPI (next Mon). S$NEER was last at 0.91% above model-implied mid.”

Mexican Peso hovers around 20.00 as the US Dollar pulls back

The Mexican Peso (MXN) opens the week with moderate gains and consolidates near the 20.00 threshold.
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CAD: A few more months until the turnaround – Commerzbank

Given the combination of further rate cuts, a still-weak real economy, risks from US tariffs and a strong US Dollar (USD), expect the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to continue to struggle for several months, Commerzbank’s BoC is expected to end the cut cycle for the time being “In the meantime, we are even trading slightly above our expected peak of 1.41 in the first quarter of 2025 with USD/CAD at 1.42.
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