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21 Jan 2025

EUR/USD: Hunting for stops – OCBC

Euro (EUR) jumped overnight on headlines that Trump is not planning to impose new tariffs yet, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Headlines to drive 2-way trades in the near term

“In the near term, we may see further unwinding of EUR shorts should Trump leave universal tariffs alone in the interim. EUR may even have a good chance of trading higher should ZEW survey expectations come in better than expected later today.”

“Daily momentum is mild bullish while RSI rose. Risks remain skewed to the upside. Key resistance at 1.0440 (50 DMA). Break out exposes the pair to 1.05, 1.0570 levels (38.2% fibo retracement of Sep high to Jan low). Support at 1.0340 (21 DMA), 1.0240, 1.02 (recent low). Expect headlines to drive 2-way trades in the near term.”

Jan 21, 2025

USD/CAD sees more upside as soft Canadian CPI boosts BoC large rate cut bets

The USD/CAD pair witnesses buying interest near 1.4430 in Tuesday’s North American session as Statistics Canada reported that soft inflation data for December.

EUR/USD fails to hold 1.04+ gains – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) has slipped back to the mid-1.03 area after failing to hold gains through the low 1.04s yesterday, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.