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22 Jan 2025

ECB’s Escrivá: A 25 bps cut next week is a likely scenario

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker José Luis Escrivá said on Wednesday that “a 25 basis points (bps) cut next week is a likely scenario.”

Additional quotes

ECB needs to wait for hard data to confirm forecasts.

Incoming information points towards converging to 2% inflation goal.

It is unclear whether there will be inflation spillovers from US policy.

To retain full optionality is more important than ever.

Jan 22, 2025

USD/JPY: Hike has been priced in – OCBC

USD/JPY consolidated after the recent decline. Markets have nearly priced in a 25bp hike (92% probability) at the upcoming MPC (Friday). USD/JPY was last seen trading at 155.70, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
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Jan 22, 2025

Natural Gas: Freeport outage sees TTF surge – ING

The European natural gas market surged higher yesterday with TTF settling more than 4.5% higher on the day and above EUR50/MWh – the highest level since the first trading day of 2025, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note.
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