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19 Feb 2025

GBP gains, then slips on above expectations CPI – Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is still struggling to make and hold ground through the low 1.26 area following the UK inflation data earlier, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

More GBP losses ahead

"Headline inflation fell less than expected (- 0.1%) in January, pushing the Y/Y pace of price growth up to 3.0% (versus 2.8% expected and 2.5% in December). Services prices also picked up—to 5.0% Y/Y—but came in below forecasts (5.1%), a minor positive in the data. The report underscores the cautious approach to policy adjustment that BoE Governor Bailey has stressed recently."

"GBP made a little more progress through retracement resistance at 1.2610 earlier but spot’s inability to hold gains (and new cycle highs in particular) leave it looking prone to more softness. Support is 1.2580 and a daily close at or below here will point to more GBP losses ahead."

Feb 19, 2025

EUR underperforms on auto, pharma tariff risks – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) softened through Asian and European trade following Trump’s auto tariff comments, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

USD/JPY ticks lower to near 151.90 despite some strength in US Dollar

The USD/JPY pair edges lower to near 151.90 in Wednesday’s North American session.