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18 Mar 2025

DXY: Konsolidasi Jelang FOMC – OCBC

Dolar AS (USD) terus diperdagangkan di dekat terendah terbaru. DXY terakhir terlihat diperdagangkan di level 103,26, catat analis Valas OCBC, Frances Cheung dan Christopher Wong. 

Risiko Kenaikan Tipis Tidak Dapat Dikesampingkan

"Perdagangan keunggulan AS terus memudar seiring pasar semakin fokus pada bagaimana kebijakan Trump merugikan perekonomian AS. Data AS terbaru termasuk payrolls, IHK, IHP, sentimen Uni Michigan, data manufaktur empire, dan penjualan ritel semuanya mengecewakan di sisi bawah." 

"Rapat FOMC (Kamis 2 pagi SGT) menjadi perhatian minggu ini. Fokus pada dot plot – jika akan ada revisi pada panduan suku bunga dan jika The Fed mengakui kekhawatiran pertumbuhan. Ketidakpastian di bidang ini telah menyebabkan sedikit pengurangan posisi jual USD."

"Momentum bearish pada grafik harian mulai memudar sementara RSI menunjukkan tanda-tanda naik dari kondisi jenuh jual. Risiko kenaikan tipis tidak dapat dikesampingkan. Resistance di 104 (Fibonacci retracement 61,8% dari terendah Oktober ke tertinggi Januari), level 105 (Fibonacci 50%, MA 21, 200 Hari). Support di level 103,20, 102,50 (Fibonacci 76,4%). Data hari ini mencakup pembangunan perumahan, izin bangunan, indeks harga ekspor/impor, dan produksi industri."

Mar 18, 2025

WTI Menguat ke Level Tertinggi Dua Minggu, di Atas $68,00 di Tengah Ketegangan Timur Tengah dan Optimisme Tiongkok

Harga Minyak Mentah AS West Texas Intermediate (WTI) menarik para pembeli untuk hari ketiga berturut-turut pada hari Selasa dan menyentuh level tertinggi baru dalam dua minggu selama paruh pertama sesi Eropa
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Mar 18, 2025

Global Trade Balance Itali Januari di Bawah Prakiraan €5.15B: Aktual (€-0.264B)

Global Trade Balance Itali Januari di Bawah Prakiraan €5.15B: Aktual (€-0.264B)
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