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14 Apr 2025

NY Fed Consumer Sentiment Survey: more households expect worse financial conditions

According to a consumer sentiment survey from the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York, the share of households bracing for higher inflation, worsening employment prospects, and deteriorating credit conditions has risen rapidly in recent months.

Key highlights

The share of households seeing a worse financial situation is the highest since October 2023.

March expectation unemployment will rise to the highest since April 2020.

In March, households were more downbeat on finances and credit access.

The survey found accelerating food and rent expected inflation in March.

In March, households were more pessimistic about jobs and future earnings.

One-year inflation expectations rise to 3.58% vs 3.13%.

US 3-year inflation expectations held at 3% in March.

US 5-year ahead expected inflation 2.9% vs. February's 3%.

Apr 14, 2025

Dow Jones Industrial Average struggles to hold onto tariff-fueled gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) kicked off Monday on a strong note, getting dragged higher by a general recovery fueled by a fresh spark in the tech rally.

Fed’s Waller: Tariffs are the biggest shock to affect US economy

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the Trump administration's tariffs posed a significant shock to the US economy that might force the Fed to cut rates to avert a recession, though they could also be just a negotiating tactic with minimal lasting impact.