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15 Apr 2025

EUR/USD: To consolidate on the day – OCBC

Euro (EUR) bulls paused overnight, ahead of ZEW survey, industrial production data today, current account (Wednesday) and ECB meeting (Thursday). Pair was last at 1.1357 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Dovish comments may partially negate EUR’s ascend

"On ECB, our house islooking for a 25bp cut. Trade tensions pose growth concerns while the drop in energy prices and much stronger EUR are likely to have added to the disinflationary pressure. More importantly, ECB’s rhetoric is key – whether policymakers will be guiding for further cuts or mention that EUR’s recent rally as excessive, etc."

"Dovish comments may partially negate EUR’s ascend. Daily momentum is bullish while RSI rose into near overbought conditions. Consolidation likely. Resistance at 1.1460/70 levels before 1.15. Support at 1.1280, 1.1160 levels."

Apr 15, 2025

EUR: ZEW may overestimate sentiment drop – ING

The German ZEW surveys published today are the first activity indicators to be released in the eurozone since 'liberation day'. Remember that respondents are financial market experts, not business managers like the Ifo.

USD: Still downside risks – ING

US equities and bonds had a good Monday, but considering the width of Trump’s announced exemptions from China’s tariffs, the move is well short of exceptional. Markets retain a substantial risk premium attached to US assets, including the dollar.