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22 Apr 2015

Upside capped in USD/BRL? – Scotiabank

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - In the opinion of Eduardo Suarez, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, gains in the pair could be limited by BCB moves.

Key Quotes

“USD/BRL has been the second best performing EMFX so far in April (+3.1%, which makes it second best to the RUB which is up +13.8%)”.

“However, we think that additional upside may be capped by a potential unwind of BCB swaps”.

“The BCB has US$112bn in outstanding swaps it used to support the BRL over recent months, and our sense is that if the BRL keeps appreciating, the central bank would likely use the rally to start unwinding them as they “come due”. This could cap the upside to the real”.
Apr 22, 2015

EUR/JPY remains a long-term sell opportunity – FXStreet

Omkar Godbole, FXStreet Editor and Analyst, explains the characteristics of EUR/JPY as a funding and safe-haven asset, and hence remains a long-term bear on the pair, targeting 122.74 levels by August-September 2015.
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Apr 22, 2015

US March existing home sales rise strongly - is the soft patch over? – ING

Previewing the US March existing home sales data, Rob Carnell of ING, comments that it won’t be wise to declare this as an end to the soft patch of the US economy, but a stronger USD and higher yields might be expected from here.
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