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BoE: MPC to hike rates by 25bp - TDS

Analysts at TD Securities expect the BoE’s MPC to hike rates by 25bp, with a clear majority vote.

Key Quotes

“We think this will be the last hike until mid-2019, however. Recent data & Brexit developments suggest skew risks to the downside.”

FX: Our base case suggests modest, short-term upside risks for GBP but range trading is likely to reassert itself after a large knee-jerk move.”

“Rates: Immediate reaction to a rate hike should be fairly contained. We remain cautious around BoE's first estimate of its "neutral" rate with markets still underpricing the MPC's rate hike path.”

FOMC meeting: No major developments expected - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura do not expect any major developments at the July/August FOMC meeting, but suggests that it is possible that the post-meeting statem
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GBP/USD Review: Climbs to fresh session tops, US data/FOMC looms

   •  Investors looked past today’s UK manufacturing PMI print for July.    •  USD fails to build on early up-move and helps gain positive traction.
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