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USD/CAD: Kisaran 1,35-1,40 Diperkirakan Bertahan – TDS

Jatuhnya harga minyak telah sangat membebani Dolar Kanada, yang telah terdepresiasi sebesar 3,1% versus USD bulan ini dan USD/CAD mencapai level tertinggi sejak 2016 kemarin, para ekonom di TD Securities menginformasikan.

Kutipan utama

"BoC mungkin menyambut baik depresiasi dalam mata uang karena sebagian akan mengimbangi dampak disinflasi jangka pendek dari harga minyak yang lebih rendah sambil juga memberikan dorongan marjinal pada daya saing ekspor Kanada jika tetap ada."

"Jika depresiasi dalam CAD dipercepat, kita mungkin melihat Gubernur mengurangi laju penurunan suku bunga."

"Kami pikir itu akan membuat Lehman seperti stres untuk mempertahankan level 1,40, meskipun perlu dicatat bahwa jumlah stres yang wajar diperhitungkan ke dalam CAD pada alat-alat lain yang kami lacak."

"Kami memperkirakan USDCAD menahan kisaran 1,35-1,40 ketika pasar bekerja menyusun ulang lingkungan global baru."

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