Our best spreads and conditions

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) cut rates 100bps to single-digit territory, two days ahead of its 19 March monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, analysts at Standard Chartered Bank reports. USD/TRY is trading at 6.430 after falling in the last minutes.
“In an unscheduled MPC meeting on 17 March, the CBRT cut the weekly repo rate 100bps to 9.75%.”
“We lower our 2020 C/A deficit forecast to -0.7% of GDP (from -1.3% prior) and our 2020 average inflation forecast to 10.2% (11.25% prior).”
“We lower our 2020 year-end policy rate forecast to 8.75% on these conducive conditions.”
“We think looser financial conditions will bode well for growth in H2-2019, after a slowdown at end-Q1 and likely into Q2, given the spread of coronavirus.”